Live Track Record · 前向复盘

Paper-Trade Ledger

Every buy signal the site actually publishes is recorded here and tracked at real forward prices. Timestamped signals use next-session-open v3: the fill is strictly the adjusted open of the first session after the signal date, and remains awaiting until that bar exists. Historical signals keep their original signal-close v2 fills and are never silently repriced onto the new model. After entry, both cohorts are managed on daily closes: exit at the first close beyond the +15% take-profit or -25% stop-loss, else at the 20-trading-day horizon.

As of 2026-11-04 · since 2026-05-29 · 449 open · 2076 closed.

Execution cohorts: 1459 next-open v3 · 1096 legacy signal-close v2. Exit rules v2 (stop/target) were introduced 2026-08-09 and applied retroactively — treat earlier managed stats as in-sample. The plain 20-day-hold track is shown alongside for continuity.

📊 Closed · managed exits stop -25% / target +15% / horizon 20d

Closed

2076

Win rate

54%

Avg / trade

+1.6%

Median / trade

+1.3%

Book NAV (depth-weighted, primary)

+7.1%

Equal-weight NAV (reference)

+4.2%

Exits: 494 take-profit · 142 stop-loss · 1440 horizon. Plain 20d hold (no stop/target), same signals: 1965 closed · win 50% · avg +0.7% · median +0.0%. All 2525 priced positions with the open ones marked to market: avg +1.7% — the closed-only figures run ahead of this while a wave of signals is young, because targets close first.

🤖 Agent review · dual track the top-scanned names each day get a 3-agent LLM review — advisory, never a gate

Cohort (closed trades)	n	Win rate	Avg / trade
Agent said BUY	63	56%	+2.5%
Agent said HOLD	194	61%	+2.9%
All closed signals (baseline)	2076	54%	+1.6%

Only the highest-ranked scan hits get a review, so the cohorts are small and selection-biased — treat as accumulating evidence for whether the agent layer discriminates, not as a verdict.

⚖️ vs S&P 500 & Nasdaq-100 same period · same windows

	Period return 2026-05-29 → 2026-11-04	Avg over trade windows	Our excess / trade	Trades beating it
This book (depth-weighted, daily MTM — primary)	+7.1%	—	—	—
Equal-weight (reference)	+4.2%	+1.6%	—	—
S&P 500 (SPY)	+1.6%	+0.6%	+1.0%	52% of 2073
Nasdaq-100 (QQQ)	-6.2%	-1.1%	+2.7%	57% of 2073

"Avg over trade windows" holds the benchmark over exactly the same entry→exit dates as each closed trade — the fair like-for-like comparison. "Excess / trade" = our trade return minus the benchmark over its own window.

📈 Book NAV vs benchmarks 2026-05-29 → 2026-11-04, all normalised to 1.00

Book NAV = equal weight across every live position, marked at daily closes and rebalanced daily — what "taking every published signal" did as a portfolio, not a sequential compounding of trades. The depth-weighted caliber sizes each position by min(stack depth at entry, 8) — same trades, same exits, only the weights differ (audit item s). Promoted to the headline caliber on 2026-09-27 after meeting the promotion criteria pre-registered on 2026-08-17: forward window 2026-08-18 → 2026-09-24 (27 trading days), depth-weighted minus equal-weight edge +1.8pp with max drawdown −6.19% vs −6.23% (criteria: ≥20 trading days, edge > 0, maxDD ≤ equal-weight + 1pp, no parameter changes). Equal weight continues as the reference line. The two dashed lines are the candidate filters described below; everything they show before 2026-10-05 is in-sample.

🧪 Candidate filters · forward test same trades, same exits — parallel tracks, not the headline

Track	Open legs funded	NAV since 2026-05-29 in-sample for candidates	NAV from 2026-10-05 the forward test	Max drawdown same window	Edge vs its base	Verdict
This book (depth-weighted — primary)	449	+7.1%	+3.99%	-2.57%	—	base
g · depth gate funded only from the 4th concurrent signal on a symbol	331 in 67 names	+15.4%	+3.94%	-2.57%	-0.05% vs the depth-weighted book	fail
h · depth gate + rebound depth g, and the signal-day close ≥10% below its 60-session high	273 in 59 names	+18.6%	+2.68%	-3.24%	-1.26% vs candidate g	fail

Two entry filters from the 2026-10 audits, tracked here before they are allowed to change anything. Every published signal stays on the ledger; a candidate only decides which legs carry weight, and funded legs keep their depth weight. g (rule locked 2026-10-03): the first three concurrent signals on a symbol are booked but unfunded — on the record so far they lost money while the 4th and later made it. h (locked 2026-10-04): g, and the signal-day close must sit at least 10% below its highest close of the 60 sessions up to that day — a rebound signal with little to rebound from has not paid. Pre-registered test: from 2026-10-05, at least 20 trading days; a candidate passes if its NAV beats its base (g against the depth-weighted book, h against g) with a maximum drawdown no more than 1pp deeper, and no parameter is touched meanwhile. A pass promotes the track to the headline; h is adopted only if g also passes; two failed windows retire a candidate. The since-inception column is in-sample for the candidates — both rules were chosen with that history in view — so only the forward window is evidence.

📌 Open positions 449 · avg unrealised +1.9%

Symbol	Variant	Signal / fill	Execution	Entry	Last	Unreal.
ROST	reborn_v3	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	237.65	245.74	+3.4%
U	reborn_v3	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	39.67	42.46	+7.0%
GE	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	326.63	329.45	+0.9%
ORCL	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	121.78	123.73	+1.6%
BKR	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	52.91	49.87	-5.7%
DXYZ	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	26.50	26.93	+1.6%
T	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	21.85	21.83	-0.1%
C	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	126.56	124.74	-1.4%
SNDK	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	1079.91	1037.40	-3.9%
TEM	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	78.74	75.61	-4.0%
CRML	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	6.35	6.37	+0.3%
DUOL	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	159.99	161.27	+0.8%
HOOD	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	83.99	87.41	+4.1%
SCHW	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	91.00	93.37	+2.6%
GM	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	89.56	92.43	+3.2%
SBET	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	6.68	7.15	+7.0%
TLRY	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	2.79	2.96	+6.1%
DJT	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	5.37	4.49	-16.4%
FCX	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	63.50	62.60	-1.4%
TMUS	gogo_v2	2026-11-03 fill 2026-11-04	next open · v3	157.50	159.17	+1.1%
BAC	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	49.37	51.63	+4.6%
GE	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	318.20	329.45	+3.5%
AAL	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	13.12	13.63	+3.9%
MP	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	39.23	35.91	-8.5%
MS	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	186.55	193.97	+4.0%
ORCL	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	122.00	123.73	+1.4%
BKR	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	53.24	49.87	-6.3%
DXYZ	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	25.89	26.93	+4.0%
T	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	21.40	21.83	+2.0%
C	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	122.83	124.74	+1.6%
SNDK	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	1107.53	1037.40	-6.3%
TEM	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	80.75	75.61	-6.4%
CRML	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	6.74	6.37	-5.5%
HOOD	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	84.88	87.41	+3.0%
SCHW	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	88.91	93.37	+5.0%
GM	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	89.89	92.43	+2.8%
SBET	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	6.59	7.15	+8.5%
TLRY	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	2.63	2.96	+12.5%
DJT	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	5.67	4.49	-20.8%
FCX	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	62.83	62.60	-0.4%
TMUS	gogo_v2	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	159.60	159.17	-0.3%
ABNB	reborn_v3	2026-11-02 fill 2026-11-03	next open · v3	170.94	176.37	+3.2%
DLR	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	185.65	184.88	-0.4%
FER	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	56.39	58.95	+4.5%
BAC	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	51.03	51.63	+1.2%
GE	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	309.85	329.45	+6.3%
MP	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	39.26	35.91	-8.5%
AAL	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	12.64	13.63	+7.8%
MS	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	185.85	193.97	+4.4%
ORCL	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	133.62	123.73	-7.4%
LMND	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	44.49	45.90	+3.2%
BKR	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	54.50	49.87	-8.5%
DXYZ	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	25.89	26.93	+4.0%
T	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	21.31	21.83	+2.4%
C	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	123.32	124.74	+1.1%
SNDK	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	1215.09	1037.40	-14.6%
TEM	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	73.26	75.61	+3.2%
CRML	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	7.50	6.37	-15.1%
HOOD	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	85.21	87.41	+2.6%
SCHW	gogo_v2	2026-10-29 fill 2026-10-30	next open · v3	89.71	93.37	+4.1%

Showing the 60 most recent of 449 open positions.

✅ Closed positions

Symbol	Variant	Signal / fill	Execution	Exit	Via	Entry $	Exit $	Return
BLK	reborn_v3	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	1067.02	1224.37	+14.7%
PM	reborn_v3	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	191.51	211.28	+10.3%
GM	reborn_v3	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	81.46	92.43	+13.5%
PG	reborn_v3	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	148.68	167.32	+12.5%
BBAI	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	2.55	2.56	+0.4%
FER	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	51.10	58.95	+15.4%
CL	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	87.65	98.76	+12.7%
TTWO	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	201.53	208.90	+3.7%
BABA	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	106.75	105.29	-1.4%
LMND	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	45.82	45.90	+0.2%
RTX	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	182.99	198.43	+8.4%
QS	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	4.56	4.43	-2.9%
BKNG	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	157.67	170.97	+8.4%
DASH	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	191.71	198.59	+3.6%
JD	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	26.54	27.73	+4.5%
SOFI	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	15.56	17.38	+11.7%
OPEN	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	2.21	1.98	-10.4%
ADSK	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	231.42	270.09	+16.7%
DLR	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	183.09	184.88	+1.0%
FIG	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	22.02	22.13	+0.5%
GD	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	328.65	364.87	+11.0%
MP	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	47.00	35.91	-23.6%
TTD	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	11.89	13.23	+11.3%
UPST	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	23.77	23.38	-1.7%
UNH	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	375.92	409.38	+8.9%
COF	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	193.38	206.31	+6.7%
UBER	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	68.85	69.87	+1.5%
ABT	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	98.89	115.51	+16.8%
BAC	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	53.19	51.63	-2.9%
PDD	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	78.26	82.15	+5.0%
SE	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	95.00	80.19	-15.6%
SPG	gogo_v2	2026-10-06 fill 2026-10-07	next open · v3	2026-11-04	⏱ 20d	201.47	228.50	+13.4%
CTAS	reborn_v3	2026-10-07 fill 2026-10-08	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	198.28	229.03	+15.5%
ADSK	gogo_v2	2026-10-07 fill 2026-10-08	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	232.56	270.09	+16.1%
V	gogo_v2	2026-10-07 fill 2026-10-08	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	371.40	436.57	+17.5%
ABT	gogo_v2	2026-10-07 fill 2026-10-08	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	98.56	115.51	+17.2%
SPG	gogo_v2	2026-10-07 fill 2026-10-08	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	197.43	228.50	+15.7%
NKE	gogo_v2	2026-10-07 fill 2026-10-08	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	34.13	40.49	+18.6%
FER	gogo_v2	2026-10-08 fill 2026-10-09	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	50.13	58.95	+17.6%
ACGL	gogo_v2	2026-10-08 fill 2026-10-09	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	95.64	110.68	+15.7%
V	gogo_v2	2026-10-08 fill 2026-10-09	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	375.79	436.57	+16.2%
ABT	gogo_v2	2026-10-08 fill 2026-10-09	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	98.41	115.51	+17.4%
NKE	gogo_v2	2026-10-08 fill 2026-10-09	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	34.58	40.49	+17.1%
MMM	gogo_v2	2026-10-08 fill 2026-10-09	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	163.27	193.95	+18.8%
MDT	reborn_v3	2026-10-09 fill 2026-10-12	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	90.76	104.96	+15.6%
FER	gogo_v2	2026-10-09 fill 2026-10-12	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	50.14	58.95	+17.6%
ADSK	gogo_v2	2026-10-09 fill 2026-10-12	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	234.70	270.09	+15.1%
ABT	gogo_v2	2026-10-09 fill 2026-10-12	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	99.39	115.51	+16.2%
NKE	gogo_v2	2026-10-09 fill 2026-10-12	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	34.70	40.49	+16.7%
MMM	gogo_v2	2026-10-09 fill 2026-10-12	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	159.50	193.95	+21.6%
FER	gogo_v2	2026-10-12 fill 2026-10-13	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	50.56	58.95	+16.6%
ADSK	gogo_v2	2026-10-12 fill 2026-10-13	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	232.74	270.09	+16.0%
USAR	gogo_v2	2026-10-12 fill 2026-10-13	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🛑 stop	11.59	8.20	-29.2%
LULU	gogo_v2	2026-10-12 fill 2026-10-13	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	95.61	112.06	+17.2%
MMM	gogo_v2	2026-10-12 fill 2026-10-13	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	161.18	193.95	+20.3%
FER	gogo_v2	2026-10-13 fill 2026-10-14	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	50.49	58.95	+16.8%
ADSK	gogo_v2	2026-10-13 fill 2026-10-14	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	230.35	270.09	+17.3%
MMM	gogo_v2	2026-10-13 fill 2026-10-14	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	162.37	193.95	+19.4%
HD	gogo_v2	2026-10-14 fill 2026-10-15	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	305.51	355.44	+16.3%
MMM	gogo_v2	2026-10-14 fill 2026-10-15	next open · v3	2026-11-04	🎯 target	165.94	193.95	+16.9%

Showing the 60 most recent of 2076 closed trades. Aggregates above cover all of them.

🧪 Data quality

Excluded from every statistic above: 30 awaiting their required entry bar (next-session open for v3; entry-session close for legacy v2)

Fills use split-adjusted daily open/close data according to each row's immutable execution model; all marks, stop/target checks, benchmark windows, and NAV series use adjusted closes (a gap through a level exits at the breaching close). No costs or slippage. Demonstration of published-signal behaviour only — not investment advice.